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When does a second COVID surge end? Look at the maths – News – The University of Sydney

How can public health officials tell when a COVID-19 infection surge is over? New maths from researchers at the University of Sydney and Tsinghua University provides a framework.

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Despite the dip in infection rates, the analysis shows that Georgia remains in a first COVID-19 infection surge.
The results show New York and New Jersey completely flattened their infection curves by the end of July with just a single surge. Thirteen states, including Georgia, California and Texas, have a continuing and rising single-infection surge. Thirty-one states had an initial surge followed by declining infection which were followed by a second surge. These states include Florida and Oh…

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