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What Does It Mean If a Vaccine Is ‘Successful’? – WIRED

The pharma companies are all using different playbooks to test their Covid-19 shots, so the first team to claim victory may not have the best formula.

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When representatives from the drug company Pfizer say that they could know as soon as the end of October if their Covid-19 vaccine works, heres what they mean: If their trial, involving perhaps as many as 44,000 people, pops just 32 of them with mild Covid-19 symptoms and a positive testand if 26 of those people got a placebo instead of the vaccinethat, potentially, is it. According to the guidelines laid out by the Food and Drug Administration, that would be an effective vaccine: 50 percent eff…

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