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Victoria’s social distancing ‘best in Australia’ when second surge hit – The Age

A top epidemiologist says the surge was probably caused by just one or two infections that turned into huge clusters, and the state’s ability to bring it under control remains “on that knife edge”.

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“Putting aside the actual outbreak, Victoria is a place where the virus is less able to spread than NSW, Sydney, South Australia, Western Australia,” said Professor McCaw.
“What it says is an unlucky, random event has led to dramatic consequences in Victoria of an enormous outbreak. It has probably restarted from one or two or a very small number of infections.”
In a second stroke of bad luck, those first infections hit “disadvantaged … high-density, vulnerable populations”, which allowed it…

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