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The Price for Not Wearing Masks: Perhaps 130,000 Lives – The New York Times

The pandemic death toll could be lowered by next spring if more Americans wear masks, a new analysis finds.

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Epidemiological models that try to predict trends far into the future, as the new one does, are particularly prone to flaws given how dynamic the situation is, and how quickly things can change, added Ashleigh Tuite, an infectious disease modeler at the University of Toronto.
Still, she and others said, the numbers seem reasonable as a rough estimate of the toll by March 2021 if current trends continue.
Dr. Murray and his colleagues analyzed the number of cases, testing rates, mask use and cellphone…

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