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The forecasts that spooked Boris Johnson into slowing exit from lockdown – The Guardian

PM’s hands tied by gloomy prediction that rapid easing would lead to even fuller hospitals than in January

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On Monday, Boris Johnson announced his roadmap for lifting all Covid restrictions by 21 June but faced criticism from some Conservative MPs for not providing for a speedier return to normal life. Here is some of the evidence the government and its scientific advisers have been considering, outlining the risks of lifting restrictions too early.
Deaths
Based on modelling by Warwick University and Imperial College London, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M), a subgroup of the…

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