Queensland poll post mortems are missing the bigger picture

The ALP in Queensland has just won its third election in a row under Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, stunning almost all pundits by increasing its seats from 47 to possibly 52 in Queensland’s unicameral 93 seat parliament and receiving a swing of 5.2 per cent. 

The Liberal National Party lost at least two seats including Caloundra on the Sunshine Coast, where it has been the dominant presence for a 100 years. It is now down to 31 or at least 34 seats. 

This means the LNP has lost 11 out of the last 14 elections.  

After Campbell Newman’s huge victory in 2012 it has been downhill. Newman lost 34 seats and was ejected from office in 2015. The LNP lost a further three seats in 2017 and now at least two more – a total…