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Modelling used to back lockdown plan ‘outdated’ – Brisbane Times

Researchers who worked on the modelling say they weren’t asked to consider upgrades to Victoria’s contact tracing system.

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“While we didn’t empirically test how changes in the contact tracing system would affect case numbers, we did base the model around current Victorian contact tracing performance,” Dr Thompson said.
Premier Daniel Andrews cited the expert modelling to justify the state’s “safe, steady and sustainable” road out of lockdown, warning that Victoria had a 60 per cent chance of returning to lockdown by Christmas if restrictions were eased too early.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison responded by saying t…

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