Health
Fortnight of cases in NSW has crossed a dangerous threshold – Sydney Morning Herald
It doesn’t help that the geographic spread of new cases rules out ring-fencing as a viable control method.
It’s better to look at rolling 14-day cumulative cases, meaning the last 14 days of new cases added together, which represents roughly two incubation periods.
My analysis of the data suggests when cases reach 100 over 14 days the “red zone” then an outbreak becomes very difficult to control. This happened in Victoria on June 18, before cases skyrocketed and a second lockdown was called for July 8.
Over the last fortnight, NSW has recorded at least 154 new cases (minus international arrives in …
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