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COVID-19: Infections ‘will rise to pre-lockdown levels’ with return to tier system – BBC Focus Magazine

Sage has warned that there is “little to no scope for loosening of social distancing rules over Christmas” if transmission rates remain high.

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Lockdown measures currently in place in England are likely to take the coronavirus R number below one but returning to the previous tiered system will cause infections to rise back to levels seen early in November, Government scientists have said.
In a set of new documents released by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) on Friday, the experts said that if the four-week lockdown measures are well adhered to, the number of hospital admissions and deaths can be expected to fall until…

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